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arxiv_llm_reliability · Nov 4, 2026 · paper
Source brief
LLMs Don't Know What They Know: Benchmarking Temporal Self-Knowledge for Financial Backtesting
arxiv.orgNov 4, 2026
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In brief
Financial backtests of large language models (LLMs) are meaningful only if the model did not already know the outcomes it is asked to predict. Practitioners guard against this by trusting a vendor's stated knowledge cutoff, by asking the model what it knows, or by instructing it