Agent benchmarks now score the trajectory, not only the final answer: which tools were called, whether the task was really done, and whether each intermediate step was right.
Public scores transfer poorly. Agents that top familiar leaderboards degrade sharply in unfamiliar environments, so the strongest signal comes from suites built on your own tools and real sessions. Authoring them is getting cheaper through small CLIs, standing workbenches, and automated task curation.
The harness is part of what you measure. A deliberately simple loop reaches SOTA across 21 models, and the same model can gain inside one commercial harness and lose inside another. Run-to-run noise compounds this: one practitioner measured a model's own variance as larger than the best-to-worst model gap. Credible results now come with fixed environments (signed bundles, full replays), cost per solved task, repeated runs, and checks against harness gaming.
Suites are fragmenting by domain and failure mode. Each new suite targets one job and keeps finding domain-specific failures, often in validation rather than code generation. Adversarial suites test the failure path: unreliable tools, poisoned business data, malicious issues. Cost-optimized models fail these far more often than frontier ones.
Long horizons expose what short tasks hide. Over hundreds of turns, agents skip checks they planned themselves; on long multimodal research chains the best system reaches 43.1% accuracy. Subsystem benchmarks (memory, knowledge conflicts, root-cause reasoning) localize the part that broke.
The open problem is validity. A score is a claim about one task set, harness, and protocol, and protocol artifacts can masquerade as capability. Elastic's production harness shows what trusting a benchmark costs: paired trials, significance tests against a measured noise floor, guard workloads, and human approval gates.